By analyzing the daily technical
chart we can see that earlier pair has
made a sharp counter attack towards north side from the 107.18 level with the
formation of double bottom pattern and yesterday it came out from all the major
and minor EM A lines which were like a cage. Well presently pair is sustaining
above the moving average line which is a good news for buyers.
The
Bank of Japan will announce its latest decision on monetary policy early
Tuesday. No surprises expected as Japanese policymakers’ hand are tied by the
massive stimulus already in place. The 20 SMA, continues heading north below
the current level, currently providing a short-term support at around 108.50.
The pair also stands above the 61.8% retracement of its latest daily decline,
at 108.30. As long as it holds above this last, chances of a downward extension
are quite limited, while the bullish potential will increase on a break above
109.00, where it peaked this July.
Early on Tuesday, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will
announce its decision on monetary policy. The BoJ “faces a
triple dilemma: inflation is still far from its goal; other major central banks
are easing; and its current framework is counterproductive when growth is
slowing and yields are falling. Despite mounting pressure to do something, we
do not expect any notable policy announcement”. They point out that a key dynamic for BoJ policymakers is the
JPY. “Any notable policy action from
the central bank is likely to be triggered by a stronger currency. For now, we
expect the BOJ to be watchful of global FX moves.”
Regarding the greenback, the FOMC will start tomorrow
it's 2-day meeting. On Wednesday a rate cut announcement is expected. Over the
last days, the US Dollar gained momentum as traders market participants
eased expectations of aggressive cuts.
Well the way bulls are reacting it
seems like they are not going to stop in early stage and 110.50 level is seems
as unfinished target. Odds are in favor of bulls. Intraday bias remains bullish on the pair.A daily closing
above 109 level will open the way towards 110.50 level and furthermore in near
term. A bullish crossover on the MACD indicator is generating bullish signal
and RSI is also favoring the bulls for the time being.
The downtrend on the daily chart
which has been breached out and pair is surviving above that level which
indicates that pair will test the 112 level in coming weeks. The 108
is immediate support level followed by 107.20 level whereas 110.50 level is
immediate resistance level followed by 112.



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